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Blog / Forex news / GBP/USD Technical Forecast 10.05hrs GMT June 3rd 2010

GBP/USD Technical Forecast 10.05hrs GMT June 3rd 2010

6/3/2010
 
gbpusd5-(1).pnggbpusd60-(1).png

GBP/USD Technical Forecast 10.05hrs GMT June 3rd 2010
(cont.) from previous forecast of May 31st 2010
 
As forecasted on May 31st the GBP/USD pair moved upwards after its previous consolidation.
Please examine the charts and determine the forthcoming developments.
 
On the chart of 30 min you observe the influence of 50 SMA and 200SMA on the move of the parity. If the 50SMA holds we will experience an upward move with first target at about 1,48 and higher, level which we should detect from the chart of 60 min.
 
The 60min chart includes the previously mentioned targets, between 1,50 and 1,52. Necessary condition, to break the descending channel (indicated with thin red lines) guiding the parity since May 12th.

gbpusdw-(1).png gbpusd24-(1).png
From the daily chart we can observe the reaction from the level of 1,42 which cannot yet be considered as reverse of main trend. The descending channel marked in the daily chart starts August 2009. Please note that 50SMA is at 1,4980 and 200SMA at 1,5782
 
From the weekly chart we can evaluate the evolvement of this parity since October 2008. The level of 1,3477 coincides with the 4,25 Fib level (0 level at 2,1135 – 1,00 level at 1,9333) which usually indicates the exhaustion of a strong move. The reaction from the 4,25 Fib went to the 2,32 Fib on July 2009 to return on the 0.78 Fib retracement at 1,4243 level as indicated in the chart. The 0,78 Fib level usually indicates a reverse of trend. Will the reaction we observe since the mid of May 2010 develop to a trend reverse? We will see.
 
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